After hitting a new two-month high on Monday, 30-year mortgage rates have since eased a tenth of a point lower. With another dip Wednesday, the average is currently 7.37%. But 30-year refinancing rates sank dramatically Wednesday, falling more than two-tenths of a point.
Because rates vary widely across lenders, it's always smart to shop around for your best mortgage option and compare rates regularly, no matter the type of home loan you're seeking.
National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates | ||
---|---|---|
Loan Type | New Purchase | Refinance |
30-Year Fixed | 7.37% | 7.68% |
FHA 30-Year Fixed | 7.38% | 7.76% |
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed | 6.82% | 6.83% |
15-Year Fixed | 6.68% | 6.88% |
5/6 ARM | 7.73% | 7.75% |
Today's Mortgage Rate Averages: New Purchase
Thirty-year new purchase mortgage rates gave up a minor 2 basis points Wednesday, after a dip of 8 basis points Tuesday. That lowers the flagship average to 7.37%, a tenth of a point below the two-month high it registered Monday. With the average in 6% territory at the start of February, today's average is still elevated. But it sits far below the historic 23-year peak of 8.45% reached in October. Rates on 15-year new purchase loans dipped as well Wednesday, losing 4 basis points and resting at 6.68%. That's still more than a half percentage point above the seven-month low of 6.10% we saw just before the new year. But back in October, 15-year rates soared to a 7.59% peak—the most expensive level since 2000. Jumbo 30-year rates marked time for a fifth day at 6.82%. That's the jumbo 30-year average's highest mark since late November. Though daily historical jumbo rates are not available before 2009, it's estimated the 7.52% peak reached in October was the most expensive jumbo 30-year average in more than 20 years. Most other new purchase averages showed minimal movement Wednesday, with many loan types holding close to steady and only two dropping by double-digit basis points. The VA 30-year average dropped 16 basis points, while the FHA 30-year average subtracted 10 points.National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - New Purchase | ||
---|---|---|
Loan Type | New Purchase Rates | Daily Change |
30-Year Fixed | 7.37% | -0.02 |
FHA 30-Year Fixed | 7.38% | -0.10 |
VA 30-Year Fixed | 7.33% | -0.16 |
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed | 6.82% | No Change |
20-Year Fixed | 7.19% | -0.04 |
15-Year Fixed | 6.68% | -0.04 |
FHA 15-Year Fixed | 6.81% | -0.05 |
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed | 6.78% | No Change |
10-Year Fixed | 6.63% | -0.03 |
10/6 ARM | 7.55% | +0.05 |
7/6 ARM | 7.51% | -0.07 |
Jumbo 7/6 ARM | 6.45% | No Change |
5/6 ARM | 7.73% | +0.01 |
Jumbo 5/6 ARM | 6.43% | No Change |
The Weekly Freddie Mac Average
Every Thursday afternoon, Freddie Mac publishes a weekly average of 30-year mortgage rates, and this week's reading jumped 13 basis points to 6.90%. Back in late October, Freddie Mac's average reached a historic peak of 7.79%—its most expensive level in 23 years. But since then, it has come down significantly, registering a recent low of 6.60% in mid-January.
Freddie Mac’s average differs from our own 30-year average for two notable reasons. First, Freddie Mac calculates a weekly average that blends five previous days of rates, while our Investopedia averages are daily, offering a more precise and timely indicator of rate movement. Second, the rates included in Freddie Mac's survey can include loans priced with discount points, while Investopedia’s averages only include zero-point loans.
Today's Mortgage Rate Averages: Refinancing
Refinancing rates on 30-year loans fell much more dramatically Wednesday, following a big drop Tuesday as well. The 30-year refi average sank 21 basis points yesterday, which narrows the spread between 30-year new purchase and refi rates to just 31 basis points. The gap has lately been ranging between 50 and 60 points. The 15-year refi average meanwhile gave up a minor 3 basis points, while the jumbo 30-year refi average continued its holding pattern for a fifth day. Most refi averages showed just modest movement on Wednesday. Aside from the dramatically dropping 30-year average, the biggest refi decliner was 20-year fixed-rate loans, whose average fell 11 basis points. Moving the other way, the 7/6 adjustable-rate refi average climbed 10 points.National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - Refinance | ||
---|---|---|
Loan Type | Refinance Rates | Daily Change |
30-Year Fixed | 7.68% | -0.21 |
FHA 30-Year Fixed | 7.76% | -0.09 |
VA 30-Year Fixed | 7.58% | -0.05 |
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed | 6.83% | No Change |
20-Year Fixed | 7.47% | -0.11 |
15-Year Fixed | 6.88% | -0.03 |
FHA 15-Year Fixed | 6.89% | -0.06 |
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed | 6.78% | No Change |
10-Year Fixed | 6.81% | -0.02 |
10/6 ARM | 7.72% | No Change |
7/6 ARM | 7.88% | +0.10 |
Jumbo 7/6 ARM | 6.55% | No Change |
5/6 ARM | 7.75% | -0.01 |
Jumbo 5/6 ARM | 6.43% | No Change |
Calculate monthly payments for different loan scenarios with our Mortgage Calculator.
Lowest Mortgage Rates by State
The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan type, and size, in addition to individual lenders' varying risk management strategies. The states with the cheapest 30-year new purchase rates were Mississippi, Hawaii, Louisiana, Vermont, Iowa, and Rhode Island, while the states with the most expensive rates were Tennessee, Minnesota, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, Oregon, and Washington.What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?
Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as:- The level and direction of the bond market, especially 10-year Treasury yields
- The Federal Reserve's current monetary policy, especially as it relates to bond buying and funding government-backed mortgages
- Competition between mortgage lenders and across loan types
Macroeconomic factors kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of 2021. In particular, the Federal Reserve had been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic's economic pressures. This bond-buying policy is a major influencer of mortgage rates.
But starting in November 2021, the Fed began tapering its bond purchases downward, making sizable reductions each month until reaching net zero in March 2022.
Between that time and July 2023, the Fed aggressively raised the federal funds rate to fight decades-high inflation. While the fed funds rate can influence mortgage rates, it does not directly do so. In fact, the fed funds rate and mortgage rates can move in opposite directions.
But given the historic speed and magnitude of the Fed's 2022 and 2023 rate increases—raising the benchmark rate 5.25 percentage points over 16 months—even the indirect influence of the fed funds rate has resulted in a dramatic upward impact on mortgage rates over the last two years.The Fed has opted to hold rates steady at its last four meetings, the last of which concluded Jan. 31. Though the central bank's statement signaled that we have almost certainly reached the end of Fed rate hikes in this campaign, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that inflation is still too high, and they will therefore proceed cautiously on deciding when to make the first rate cut. Specifically, he indicated it's unlikely they will be ready for any rate reduction by the time of their next meeting, which is scheduled for March 19–20.
After its December meeting, the Fed released quarterly data that showed almost 80% of Fed members expect there to be two to four rate cuts in 2024, with the median expectation being three rate decreases totaling 0.75%. But when in 2024 these will begin—and ultimately how many are implemented this year—is an open question at this time.
How We Track Mortgage Rates
The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700–760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.
For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700–760.