- Falling mortgage rates have made mortgages more affordable, and spurred renewed activity in the home loan market.
- The uptick in mortgage applications last week left activity well below the pandemic era, when rates hit record lows.
- Lower inflation in recent months has driven down mortgage rates, and forecasters expect that to continue as the year goes on.
Falling mortgage rates encouraged more people to take out home loans last week, though activity remained well below the pandemic-era homebuying frenzy.
An index measuring the volume of mortgage applications for purchase and refinancing rose 10.4% to its highest since July, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday. Not coincidentally, the average rate offered for a 30-year mortgage fell 13 basis points to 6.75%, its lowest in three weeks. Mortgage applications remained far less popular than during the pandemic era of ultra-low rates, as the chart below shows.
Mortgage rates are tied to yields on 10-year Treasurys, which are in turn influenced by market perceptions about the Federal Reserve’s key fed funds rate, as well as fears about inflation. Mortgage rates have been on a downward trend amid expectations among traders that the central bank will soon begin cutting the rate from its current 22-year high.
Despite the recent downtick, which has taken the average 30-year rate down from its recent peak of nearly 8% in late October, rates remain close to their highest in decades and have made homebuying all but unaffordable for most first-time purchasers. Many forecasters expect rates to fall as the year goes on, breathing some life back into the stagnant housing market.